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Premier League England

30.12.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

30.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Burnley - Newcastle

England Football

Burnley

1 : 3

Finished

Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Newcastle December 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.76 / X 4.21 / 2 1.58
1X2 market: Burnley 16.6% / X 22.8% / Newcastle 60.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 16.6%

X 22.8%

2 60.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

Burnley - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.58 market consensus · line only

X 4.22 market consensus · line only

1 5.77 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.15 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 2.42 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.15 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.99 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.91 16.9%
X	4.34 23.0%
	1.57 63.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	5.80 17.2%	6.10 16.4%	5.94 16.8%	5.75 17.4%	5.70 17.5%	5.50 18.2%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.37 22.9%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%	4.20 23.8%
	1.56 64.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.91 52.4%	1.96 51.0%	1.89 52.9%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%	1.90 52.6%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.13 88.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.16 86.2%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	2.35 42.6%	2.46 40.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.49 40.2%	2.53 39.5%

Match center

Burnley

D D L L L

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:0 Everton

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:1 Bournemouth

13.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:3 Fulham

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:2 Nyukasl

03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:1 Kristal Pelas

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

2 Points

Newcastle

L D L W D

26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Manchester United

20.12 12:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:2 Chelsea

14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Sunderland

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Burnley

02.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:2 Tottenkhem

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Newcastle

Burnley

1 matches total

Newcastle

Burnley: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Newcastle: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Nyukasl 1:2 (06.12 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 06.12 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.12 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Burnley

1:2

Nyukasl