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Premier League
Premier League England
23.08.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
23.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Burnley - Sunderland

England Football
Burnley
Burnley
2 : 0
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Sunderland August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Burnley.

Line favourite market consensus: Burnley. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.16 / 2 3.23
  • 1X2 market: Burnley 40.2% / X 30.3% / Sunderland 29.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 40.2%
X 30.2%
2 29.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.4%
Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Burnley - Sunderland

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.40 41.7%
X 3.18 31.5%
3.37 29.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.36 42.4% 2.42 41.3% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.37 42.2%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0%
Match center
Burnley
L
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sunderland
W
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:0 West HamWest Ham
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Sunderland

Burnley
0 matches total
Sunderland
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history