Match center
Start
27.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
27.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Chelsea - Aston Villa
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chelsea - Aston Villa December 27, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.
Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.85 / 2 4.34
- 1X2 market: Chelsea 53.0% / X 24.9% / Aston Villa 22.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
53.1%
X
24.8%
2
22.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Chelsea - Aston Villa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.34
market consensus · line only
X
3.86
market consensus · line only
1
1.80
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.03
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.22
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.06
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.60
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.06
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.79
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.10
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.70
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.81 55.3% | |
| X | 3.98 25.1% |
| 4.44 22.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.05 24.7% |
| 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.62 21.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.60 21.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.93 51.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.08 48.1% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
Chelsea
D
W
D
L
D
20.12 12:30 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
2:2
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
13.12 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
2:0
Everton
Everton
06.12 15:00 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
0:0
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
03.12 20:15 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
1:3
Leeds
Leeds
30.11 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
1:1
Arsenal
Arsenal
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Aston Villa
W
W
W
W
W
21.12 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
2:1
Manchester United
Manchester United
14.12 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
3:2
West Ham
West Ham
06.12 12:30 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
2:1
Arsenal
Arsenal
03.12 19:30 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
4:3
Brighton
Brighton
30.11 14:05 UTC
Premier League
Aston Villa
1:0
Wolves
Wolves
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Chelsea - Aston Villa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form