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Premier League England

17.01.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Chelsea - Brentford

England Football

Chelsea

2 : 0

Finished

Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Brentford January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.78 / 2 4.03
1X2 market: Chelsea 50.9% / X 25.3% / Brentford 23.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 50.9%

X 25.3%

2 23.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 58.9%

Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Chelsea - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.04 market consensus · line only

X 3.79 market consensus · line only

1 1.88 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.96 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.70 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.36 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.92 52.1%
X	3.84 26.0%
	4.06 24.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.79 55.9%	1.88 53.2%	1.93 51.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%
X	3.80 26.3%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%
	4.20 23.8%	4.05 24.7%	4.16 24.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.30 43.5%	2.44 41.0%	2.32 43.1%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.37 42.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.29 43.7%	2.47 40.5%
yes	1.57 63.7%	1.56 64.1%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.95 51.3%	1.97 50.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.96 51.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.27 78.7%

Match center

Chelsea

L D D L D

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:2 Fulham

04.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:1 Manchester City

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Bournemouth

27.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:2 Aston Villa

20.12 12:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Nyukasl

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

3 Points

Brentford

W W D W W

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brentford 3:0 Sunderland

04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 4:2 Everton

01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:0 Tottenkhem

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 4:1 Bournemouth

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 2:0 Wolves

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Brentford

Chelsea

2 matches total

Brentford

Chelsea: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

Brentford: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 13.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (13.09 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

13.09 19:00 UTC

Premier League

Chelsea

2:2

Brentford

06.04 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Chelsea

0:0

Brentford