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Premier League England

10.02.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

10.02.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Chelsea - Leeds

England Football

Chelsea

2 : 2

Finished

Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Leeds February 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.39 / 2 6.04
1X2 market: Chelsea 62.4% / X 21.8% / Leeds 15.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 62.4%

X 21.8%

2 15.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 57.9%

Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 10.02.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Chelsea - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.04 market consensus · line only

X 4.40 market consensus · line only

1 1.53 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.51 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.99 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.28 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.06 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.54 64.9%
X	4.49 22.3%
	6.13 16.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.58 63.3%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.55 22.0%	4.53 22.1%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.40 22.7%
	5.90 17.0%	5.90 17.0%	6.25 16.0%	5.50 18.2%	5.75 17.4%	6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.11 47.4%	2.04 49.0%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.13 47.0%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.45 40.8%	2.56 39.1%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.52 39.7%	2.50 40.0%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Chelsea

W W W W L

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:1 Wolves

31.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:2 West Ham

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:1 Kristal Pelas

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:0 Brentford

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:2 Fulham

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

12 Points

Leeds

W L D W L

06.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:1 Nottingem Forest

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 0:4 Arsenal

26.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Everton

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:0 Fulham

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:4 Nyukasl

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Leeds

Chelsea

1 matches total

Leeds

Chelsea: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Leeds: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Leeds 1:3 (03.12 20:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 03.12 20:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.12 20:15 UTC

Premier League

Chelsea

1:3

Leeds