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Premier League England

07.01.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

07.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Crystal Palace - Aston Villa

England Football

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Finished

Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Aston Villa January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.31 / 2 2.33
1X2 market: Crystal Palace 30.1% / X 28.9% / Aston Villa 41.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 30.0%

X 28.9%

2 41.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 50.4%

Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 07.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Crystal Palace - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.33 market consensus · line only

X 3.31 market consensus · line only

1 3.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.37 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.61 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.38 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.63 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.14 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.31 30.2%
X	3.34 29.9%
	2.35 42.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.27 30.6%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.30 30.3%	3.42 29.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%
	2.28 43.9%	2.35 42.6%	2.40 41.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%	2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.15 46.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.17 46.1%	2.24 44.6%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.61 62.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.61 62.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.35 74.1%	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.39 71.9%	1.38 72.5%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%
home_draw	1.60 62.5%	1.64 61.0%	1.53 65.4%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%