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Premier League
Premier League England
05.04.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Brighton

England Football
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Brighton April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.37 / 2 2.96
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 38.2% / X 28.9% / Brighton 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 38.2%
X 28.9%
2 32.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Under 2.5 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.55 39.2%
X 3.37 29.7%
2.96 33.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 2.5 2.01 49.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.81 55.3%
2.08 48.1%
Match center
Crystal Palace
D W L L L
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
21.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
05.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 EvertonEverton
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Brighton
L D W W L
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 WolvesWolves
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
06.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:4 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Brighton

Crystal Palace
0 matches total
Brighton
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history