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Premier League England

09.11.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

09.11.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Crystal Palace - Brighton

England Football

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Finished

Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Brighton November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.43 / 2 3.16
1X2 market: Crystal Palace 41.9% / X 27.9% / Brighton 30.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 41.9%

X 27.9%

2 30.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 09.11.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Crystal Palace - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.17 market consensus · line only

X 3.43 market consensus · line only

1 2.28 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.65 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.38 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.37 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.21 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.28 43.9%
X	3.54 28.3%
	3.25 30.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.20 45.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.37 42.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.45 29.0%	3.53 28.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%
	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.22 31.1%	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.17 46.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.14 46.7%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.63 61.4%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.66 60.2%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.35 74.1%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.40 71.4%