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Premier League England

11.02.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

11.02.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Crystal Palace - Burnley

England Football

Crystal Palace

2 : 3

Finished

Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Burnley February 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.27 / 2 6.41
1X2 market: Crystal Palace 62.8% / X 22.3% / Burnley 14.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 62.8%

X 22.3%

2 14.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%

Over 2.5 53.2%

Under 2.5 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.02.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Crystal Palace - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.42 market consensus · line only

X 4.28 market consensus · line only

1 1.52 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.54 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.58 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.88 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.53 65.4%
X	4.40 22.7%
	6.59 15.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.51 66.2%	1.51 66.2%	1.56 64.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%
X	4.00 25.0%	4.40 22.7%	4.52 22.1%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%	4.30 23.3%
	6.25 16.0%	6.50 15.4%	6.60 15.2%	6.00 16.7%	6.50 15.4%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.90 52.6%	1.92 52.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.82 55.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.45 40.8%	2.61 38.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.52 39.7%	2.50 40.0%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.15 87.0%	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Crystal Palace

W D L L D

08.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:0 Brighton

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem Forest

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:3 Chelsea

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:2 Sunderland

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 0:0 Aston Villa

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Burnley

L L D D D

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 West Ham

02.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:3 Sunderland

24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:2 Tottenkhem

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:1 Liverpul

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:2 Manchester United

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Burnley

Crystal Palace

1 matches total

Burnley

Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Burnley: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Kristal Pelas 1:0 (03.12 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 03.12 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.12 19:30 UTC

Premier League

Kristal Pelas

1:0

Burnley