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Premier League
Premier League England
13.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Sunderland

England Football
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0 : 0
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Sunderland September 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.50 / 2 5.25
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 55.3% / X 26.8% / Sunderland 17.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 55.3%
X 26.8%
2 17.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Sunderland

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
X 3.50 28.6%
5.25 19.1%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
5.25 19.1% 5.25 19.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Crystal Palace
W D D D W
31.08 18:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 3:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 4:2 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Sunderland
W L W
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:2 BurnleyBurnley
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:0 West HamWest Ham
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points