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Premier League
Premier League England
24.08.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Brighton

England Football
Everton
Everton
2 : 0
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Brighton August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.04 / X 3.36 / 2 2.37
  • 1X2 market: Everton 31.4% / X 28.4% / Brighton 40.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 31.4%
X 28.4%
2 40.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 3.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.11 32.2%
X 3.45 29.0%
2.40 41.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
2.36 42.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.39 41.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Everton
L W W W D
18.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 LeedsLeeds
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
18.05 11:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:1 FulhamFulham
03.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 IpswichIpswich
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Brighton
D W W W D
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 FulhamFulham
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 4:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
19.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 WolvesWolves
04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 NyukaslNyukasl
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Brighton

Everton
0 matches total
Brighton
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history