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Premier League
Premier League England
26.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Leeds

England Football
Everton
Everton
1 : 1
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Leeds January 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.16 / 2 2.97
  • 1X2 market: Everton 37.6% / X 30.2% / Leeds 32.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 37.6%
X 30.2%
2 32.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.61 38.3%
X 3.24 30.9%
2.99 33.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Everton
W D L W D
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Everton 1:1 WolvesWolves
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:4 BrentfordBrentford
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:0 BurnleyBurnley
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Leeds
W L D D D
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:0 FulhamFulham
07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:4 NyukaslNyukasl
04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 LiverpulLiverpul
28.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Leeds

Everton
1 matches total
Leeds
Everton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Leeds: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Leeds 0:1 (18.08 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 18.08 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

18.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
0:1
Leeds