Premier League England

29.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

29.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Everton - Newcastle

England Futbol

Everton

1 : 4

Finished

Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Newcastle 29 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.29 / 2 2.61
1X2 market: Everton 34.4% / X 29.0% / Newcastle 36.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 34.4%

X 29.0%

2 36.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 50.9%

Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 29.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Everton - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.62 market consensus · line only

X 3.30 market consensus · line only

1 2.78 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.44 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.51 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.13 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.15 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.82 35.5%
Х	3.39 29.5%
П2	2.65 37.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	2.74 36.5%	2.80 35.7%	2.88 34.7%	2.70 37.0%	2.80 35.7%	2.80 35.7%
Х	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%
П2	2.58 38.8%	2.61 38.3%	2.67 37.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.27 44.1%	2.13 47.0%	2.15 46.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.11 47.4%	2.29 43.7%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.44 69.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.46 68.5%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%

Match center

Everton

W W D L L

24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:0 Manchester United

08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 2:0 Fulham

03.11 20:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:1 Sunderland

26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 0:3 Tottenkhem

18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 0:2 Manchester City

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Newcastle

W L L W L

22.11 17:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Manchester City

09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:3 Brentford

02.11 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:3 West Ham

25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Fulham

18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:2 Brighton

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Newcastle

Everton

2 matches total

Newcastle

Everton: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Everton 1:0 (25.05 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 25.05 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (05.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

25.05 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Everton

1:0

Nyukasl

05.10 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Everton

0:0

Nyukasl