AI verdict

AI pick Newcastle win probability ~37% confidence Low best odds 2.61

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Newcastle. Full breakdown below.

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Premier League
Premier League England
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton vs Newcastle — Football prediction

England Football
Everton
Everton
1 : 4
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Everton go head-to-head with Newcastle on November 29, 2025 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Everton 2-1-2, Newcastle 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Newcastle at roughly 37%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Newcastle November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.29 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Everton 34.4% / X 29.0% / Newcastle 36.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0% 13 books · best price +2.7%
1 34.3%
X 29.0%
2 36.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 34.4% @ 2.78 / X 29.0% @ 3.29 / 2 36.6% @ 2.61
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Match center

Everton - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.62 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.82 35.5%
X 3.39 29.5%
2.65 37.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.74 36.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
2.58 38.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.67 37.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.27 44.1% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Everton
W W D L L
24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 Manchester YunaytedManchester Yunayted
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 FulkhemFulkhem
03.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 SanderlendSanderlend
26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:2 Manchester SitiManchester Siti
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Newcastle
W L L W L
22.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 Manchester SitiManchester Siti
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
02.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 West HamWest Ham
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 FulkhemFulkhem
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 BraytonBrayton
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Everton - Newcastle

Everton
2 matches total
Newcastle
Everton: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Newcastle: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Everton 1:0 (25.05 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 25.05 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (05.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
1:0
Nyukasl
05.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton
0:0
Nyukasl

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Everton vs Newcastle?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Newcastle. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Everton vs Newcastle?

Live odds for Everton vs Newcastle from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Everton vs Newcastle start?

November 29, 2025.