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Premier League
Premier League England
06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Nottingham Forest

England Football
Everton
Everton
3 : 0
Finished
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Nottingham Forest December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.25 / 2 3.63
  • 1X2 market: Everton 44.2% / X 29.4% / Nottingham Forest 26.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 44.3%
X 29.4%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Nottingham Forest

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.64 market consensus · line only
X 3.25 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.18 45.9%
X 3.29 30.4%
3.76 26.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.12 47.2% 2.16 46.3% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.37 29.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.71 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Everton
W L W W D
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
29.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:4 NyukaslNyukasl
24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 FulhamFulham
03.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Nottingham Forest
W L W W D
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:0 WolvesWolves
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:2 BrightonBrighton
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:0 LiverpulLiverpul
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:1 LeedsLeeds
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Nottingham Forest

Everton
1 matches total
Nottingham Forest
Everton: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Everton 1:0 (12.04 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 12.04 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
1:0
Nottingem Forest