Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
07.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Chelsea

England Football
Fulham
Fulham
2 : 1
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Chelsea January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.69 / X 3.65 / 2 2.00
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 26.0% / X 26.2% / Chelsea 47.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 25.9%
X 26.2%
2 47.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 07.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 3.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.84 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.26 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.81 26.3%
X 3.71 27.0%
2.01 49.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.84 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
1.96 51.0% 2.01 49.8% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Match center
Fulham
D D W W W
04.01 15:15 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 West HamWest Ham
22.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
13.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:2 BurnleyBurnley
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Chelsea
D D L D W
04.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
27.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
20.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 NyukaslNyukasl
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 EvertonEverton
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Chelsea

Fulham
2 matches total
Chelsea
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chelsea: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Chelsea 0:2 (30.08 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 20.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham
0:2
Chelsea
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham
1:2
Chelsea