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Premier League
Premier League England
24.08.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Fulham - Manchester United

England Football
Fulham
Fulham
1 : 1
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fulham - Manchester United August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.47 / X 3.53 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: Fulham 27.6% / X 27.0% / Manchester United 45.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 27.5%
X 27.0%
2 45.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Fulham - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.04 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.58 27.9%
X 3.58 27.9%
2.13 47.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.53 28.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.65 27.4%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.63 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%
Match center
Fulham
D L W L L
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 BrightonBrighton
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
18.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:2 BrentfordBrentford
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 EvertonEverton
03.05 11:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Manchester United
L W L L L
17.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
16.05 19:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:2 West HamWest Ham
04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:4 BrentfordBrentford
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFulham - Manchester United

Fulham
0 matches total
Manchester United
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history