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Premier League England

31.01.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

31.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Leeds - Arsenal

England Football

Leeds

0 : 4

Finished

Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Arsenal January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.29 / X 4.19 / 2 1.54
1X2 market: Leeds 15.2% / X 22.8% / Arsenal 62.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 15.2%

X 22.8%

2 62.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 49.6%

Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Leeds - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.54 market consensus · line only

X 4.20 market consensus · line only

1 6.32 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.13 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 2.50 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.78 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	6.75 14.8%
X	4.29 23.3%
	1.53 65.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	6.20 16.1%	6.10 16.4%	6.56 15.2%	6.00 16.7%	6.00 16.7%	6.10 16.4%
X	4.00 25.0%	4.35 23.0%	4.37 22.9%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.25 23.5%
	1.52 65.8%	1.54 64.9%	1.58 63.3%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.73 57.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.84 54.4%
yes	2.05 48.8%	2.06 48.5%	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.96 51.0%	2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.11 90.1%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.16 86.2%	1.13 88.5%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	2.45 40.8%	2.56 39.1%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.56 39.1%

Match center

Leeds

D W L D D

26.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Everton

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:0 Fulham

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:4 Nyukasl

04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Manchester United

01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 0:0 Liverpul

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Arsenal

L D D W W

25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:3 Manchester United

17.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 0:0 Nottingem Forest

08.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 0:0 Liverpul

03.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 3:2 Bournemouth

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 4:1 Aston Villa

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Arsenal

Leeds

1 matches total

Arsenal

Leeds: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Arsenal: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Arsenal 0:5 (23.08 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (0:5, 23.08 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.08 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Leeds

0:5

Arsenal