Match center
Start
23.11.2025 14:00 UTC
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23.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Leeds - Aston Villa
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leeds - Aston Villa November 23, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.99 / X 3.25 / 2 2.46
- 1X2 market: Leeds 31.9% / X 29.3% / Aston Villa 38.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
31.9%
X
29.3%
2
38.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Leeds - Aston Villa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.46
market consensus · line only
X
3.26
market consensus · line only
1
3.00
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.40
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.56
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.42
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.14
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.41
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.89
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.97
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.79
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.09 32.4% | |
| X | 3.37 29.7% |
| 2.45 40.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.85 35.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.42 41.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.93 51.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.04 49.0% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.84 54.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_draw | 1.50 66.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% |
Match center
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
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09.11 14:00 UTC
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Aston Villa
Leeds
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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