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Premier League
Premier League England
03.12.2025 20:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Chelsea

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
3 : 1
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Chelsea December 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.99 / X 3.49 / 2 1.96
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 23.9% / X 27.3% / Chelsea 48.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 23.9%
X 27.4%
2 48.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Under 2.5 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.12.2025 20:15 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 4.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.87 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.16 24.0%
X 3.50 28.6%
1.99 50.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.85 26.0% 3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.85 54.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Match center
Leeds
L L L L W
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:3 Manchester CityManchester City
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Leeds 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
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Leeds 1:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:3 BrightonBrighton
24.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:1 West HamWest Ham
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Chelsea
D W W W L
30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
08.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 WolvesWolves
01.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Chelsea

Leeds
0 matches total
Chelsea
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history