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Premier League
Premier League England
18.08.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
18.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Everton

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
1 : 0
Finished
Everton
Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Everton August 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite Fonbet: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / X 3.30 / 2 3.25
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 41.1% / X 29.2% / Everton 29.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 41.1%
X 29.2%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Everton

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 Fonbet · line only
X 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 Fonbet · line only
12 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.11 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.40 41.7%
X 3.29 30.4%
3.26 30.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.34 42.7% 2.32 43.1% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.42 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%
3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Everton
W W W D L
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
18.05 11:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:1 FulhamFulham
03.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 IpswichIpswich
26.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Everton

Leeds
0 matches total
Everton
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history