Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
17.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Fulham

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
1 : 0
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Fulham January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.39 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 44.3% / X 28.2% / Fulham 27.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 44.3%
X 28.2%
2 27.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 17.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.48 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.16 46.3%
X 3.51 28.5%
3.57 28.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.14 46.7% 2.13 47.0% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
Match center
Leeds
L D D D W
07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:4 NyukaslNyukasl
04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 LiverpulLiverpul
28.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 4:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Fulham
W D D W W
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
04.01 15:15 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 West HamWest Ham
22.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Fulham

Leeds
1 matches total
Fulham
Leeds: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fulham: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Fulham 0:1 (13.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 13.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds
0:1
Fulham