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Premier League
Premier League England
06.12.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
06.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Leeds - Liverpool

England Football
Leeds
Leeds
3 : 3
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Liverpool December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.19 / X 3.81 / 2 1.84
  • 1X2 market: Leeds 22.9% / X 25.1% / Liverpool 52.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 22.8%
X 25.1%
2 52.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Leeds - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 4.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.00 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.25 23.5%
X 3.90 25.6%
1.86 53.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.94 25.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3%
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Leeds
W L L L L
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:3 Manchester CityManchester City
23.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:3 BrightonBrighton
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Liverpool
D W L L W
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:0 West HamWest Ham
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
09.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
01.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Liverpool

Leeds
0 matches total
Liverpool
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history