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Premier League England

06.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

06.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Leeds - Nottingham Forest

England Football

Leeds

3 : 1

Finished

Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leeds - Nottingham Forest February 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.29 / 2 3.44
1X2 market: Leeds 43.2% / X 29.0% / Nottingham Forest 27.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 43.2%

X 29.0%

2 27.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%

Over 2.5 46.0%

Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 06.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Leeds - Nottingham Forest

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.45 market consensus · line only

X 3.29 market consensus · line only

1 2.21 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.69 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.34 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.28 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.95 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.35 29.9%
	3.53 28.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Betano	Betfair
	2.14 46.7%	2.17 46.1%	2.26 44.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.22 45.1%	2.20 45.5%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.44 29.1%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%
	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.56 28.1%	3.30 30.3%	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.90 52.6%	1.98 50.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.89 52.9%	2.01 49.8%	1.95 51.3%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%

Match center

Leeds

L D W L D

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 0:4 Arsenal

26.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Everton

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:0 Fulham

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:4 Nyukasl

04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Manchester United

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.0 Conceded

5 Points

Nottingham Forest

D W D W L

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Kristal Pelas

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 2:0 Brentford

17.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:0 Arsenal

06.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 2:1 West Ham

03.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:3 Aston Villa

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeeds - Nottingham Forest

Leeds

1 matches total

Nottingham Forest

Leeds: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Nottingham Forest: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Nottingem Forest 1:3 (09.11 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 09.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

09.11 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Leeds

1:3

Nottingem Forest