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Premier League England

11.05.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction

11.05.2025 15:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Arsenal

England Football

Liverpool

2 : 2

Finished

Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Arsenal May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.55 / 2 3.03
1X2 market: Liverpool 40.5% / X 27.4% / Arsenal 32.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 40.5%

X 27.4%

2 32.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 56.2%

Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.05.2025 15:30 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.03 market consensus · line only

X 3.55 market consensus · line only

1 2.40 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.63 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.42 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.40 41.7%
X	3.55 28.2%
	3.03 33.0%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.63 61.4%
home_away	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 2.5	1.72 58.1%
Under 2.5	2.21 45.3%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.73 57.8%
	2.19 45.7%

Match center

Liverpool

L W W W L

04.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:3 Chelsea

27.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 5:1 Tottenkhem

20.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:0 Leicester

13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 West Ham

06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:3 Fulham

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

9 Points

Arsenal

L D W D D

03.05 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:2 Bournemouth

23.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:2 Kristal Pelas

20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 4:0 Ipswich

12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:1 Brentford

05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:1 Everton

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Arsenal

Liverpool

1 matches total

Arsenal

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Arsenal: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 27.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (27.10 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.10 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

2:2

Arsenal