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Premier League England

31.08.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction

31.08.2025 15:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Arsenal

England Football

Liverpool

1 : 0

Finished

Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Arsenal August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.46 / 2 2.98
1X2 market: Liverpool 40.1% / X 27.7% / Arsenal 32.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%

1 40.1%

X 27.7%

2 32.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 55.6%

Under 2.5 44.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.08.2025 15:30 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.98 market consensus · line only

X 3.46 market consensus · line only

1 2.39 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.59 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.40 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.91 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.83 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.35 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.42 41.3%
X	3.51 28.5%
	3.03 33.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.36 42.4%	2.38 42.0%	2.43 41.2%	2.40 41.7%	2.35 42.6%	2.40 41.7%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.52 28.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%
	2.92 34.3%	2.95 33.9%	3.02 33.1%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.35 42.6%	2.41 41.5%	2.32 43.1%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.37 42.2%	2.38 42.0%	2.29 43.7%	2.44 41.0%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.61 62.1%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%

Match center

Liverpool

W W D L D

25.08 19:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 3:2 Nyukasl

15.08 19:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 4:2 Bournemouth

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:1 Kristal Pelas

19.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:3 Brighton

11.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:2 Arsenal

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

2.0 Conceded

8 Points

Arsenal

W W W W D

23.08 16:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 5:0 Leeds

17.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Manchester United

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:1 Southampton

18.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Nyukasl

11.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Arsenal 2:2 Liverpul

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Arsenal

Liverpool

2 matches total

Arsenal

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

Arsenal: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 11.05 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (11.05 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

11.05 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

2:2

Arsenal

27.10 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

2:2

Arsenal