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Premier League England

17.01.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Burnley

England Football

Liverpool

1 : 1

Finished

Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Burnley January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.56 / 2 12.40
1X2 market: Liverpool 77.6% / X 14.6% / Burnley 7.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 77.7%

X 14.6%

2 7.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 61.9%

Under 2.5 38.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 6.59 market consensus · line only

1 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 10.00 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.18 market consensus · line only

12 1.12 market consensus · line only

1X 1.05 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.05 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.36 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 9.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.22 82.0%
X	7.10 14.1%
	13.09 7.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.24 80.7%	1.23 81.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%
X	5.90 17.0%	6.50 15.4%	6.96 14.4%	6.00 16.7%	7.00 14.3%	6.30 15.9%
	12.50 8.0%	13.00 7.7%	12.70 7.9%	11.00 9.1%	11.00 9.1%	13.50 7.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.73 57.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.05 48.8%	2.18 45.9%	2.03 49.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.10 47.6%	2.03 49.3%	2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	3.90 25.6%	4.28 23.4%	4.00 25.0%	3.75 26.7%	4.10 24.4%	4.35 23.0%
home_away	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%
home_draw	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.04 96.2%