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Premier League England

01.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

01.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Leeds

England Football

Liverpool

0 : 0

Finished

Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Leeds January 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.27 / 2 5.80
1X2 market: Liverpool 61.1% / X 22.4% / Leeds 16.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 61.0%

X 22.4%

2 16.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%

Over 2.5 55.4%

Under 2.5 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.80 market consensus · line only

X 4.28 market consensus · line only

1 1.57 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.47 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.89 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.20 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.99 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.57 63.7%
X	4.37 22.9%
	5.79 17.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.51 66.2%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.55 64.5%
X	4.30 23.3%	4.30 23.3%	4.37 22.9%	4.20 23.8%	4.35 23.0%	4.33 23.1%
	6.00 16.7%	5.80 17.2%	5.94 16.8%	5.75 17.4%	5.80 17.2%	6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.06 48.5%	1.97 50.8%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.46 40.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.42 41.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.53 39.5%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.13 88.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.17 85.5%

Match center

Liverpool

W W W D D

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Wolves

20.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Tottenkhem

13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:0 Brighton

06.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 3:3 Leeds

03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:1 Sunderland

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

11 Points

Leeds

D W D D W

28.12 14:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Sunderland

20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Leeds 4:1 Kristal Pelas

14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 1:1 Brentford

06.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:3 Liverpul

03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Leeds 3:1 Chelsea

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Leeds

Liverpool

1 matches total

Leeds

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Leeds: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 06.12 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (06.12 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.12 17:30 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

3:3

Leeds