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Premier League England

31.01.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

31.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Liverpool - Newcastle

England Football

Liverpool

4 : 1

Finished

Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Newcastle January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 4.03 / 2 4.37
1X2 market: Liverpool 54.4% / X 23.7% / Newcastle 21.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 54.5%

X 23.7%

2 21.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 62.3%

Under 2.5 37.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Liverpool - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.38 market consensus · line only

X 4.03 market consensus · line only

1 1.76 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.09 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.67 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.07 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.25 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.48 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.77 56.5%
X	4.09 24.5%
	4.50 22.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.71 58.5%	1.76 56.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.78 56.2%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.21 23.8%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.10 24.4%
	4.33 23.1%	4.35 23.0%	4.51 22.2%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.50 40.0%	2.60 38.5%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.59 38.6%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.13 47.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.12 47.2%	2.12 47.2%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.26 79.4%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.24 80.7%

Match center

Liverpool

L D D D D

24.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:3 Bournemouth

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:1 Burnley

08.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 0:0 Arsenal

04.01 15:15 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:2 Fulham

01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 0:0 Leeds

0 Wins

4 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

4 Points

Newcastle

L D W W W

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:2 Aston Villa

18.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:0 Wolves

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 4:3 Leeds

04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:0 Kristal Pelas

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:1 Burnley

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Newcastle

Liverpool

1 matches total

Newcastle

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Newcastle: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Liverpul 3:2 (25.08 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 25.08 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.08 19:00 UTC

Premier League

Liverpul

3:2

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