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Premier League
Premier League England
03.12.2025 20:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Liverpool - Sunderland

England Football
Liverpool
Liverpool
1 : 1
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Sunderland December 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.26 / 2 8.24
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool 70.1% / X 18.2% / Sunderland 11.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 70.2%
X 18.2%
2 11.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.12.2025 20:15 UTC
Match center

Liverpool - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.26 market consensus · line only
X 5.28 market consensus · line only
1 1.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.17 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.43 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
X 5.50 18.2%
8.52 11.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.36 18.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.20 19.2%
7.00 14.3% 8.10 12.4% 9.20 10.9% 8.00 12.5% 7.00 14.3% 8.25 12.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.26 30.7%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Liverpool
W L L W L
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:0 West HamWest Ham
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
09.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
01.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
25.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:3 BrentfordBrentford
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Sunderland
W L D D W
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:2 BournemouthBournemouth
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:1 FulhamFulham
08.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:2 ArsenalArsenal
03.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 EvertonEverton
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Sunderland

Liverpool
0 matches total
Sunderland
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history