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Premier League
Premier League England
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Aston Villa

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 : 1
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Manchester City go head-to-head with Aston Villa on April 22, 2025 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Manchester City 4-1-0, Aston Villa 4-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Manchester City, an implied 52% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Aston Villa April 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 4.00 / 2 4.06
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 51.7% / X 24.3% / Aston Villa 24.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 51.7%
X 24.3%
2 24.0%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 51.7% @ 1.88 / X 24.3% @ 4.00 / 2 24.0% @ 4.06
Match center

Manchester City - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.06 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.88 53.2%
X 4.00 25.0%
4.06 24.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.36 42.4%
Under 3.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.41 70.9%
3.07 32.6%
Match center
Manchester City
W W D W W
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 EvertonEverton
12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
06.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 Leicester
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Aston Villa
W W W W D
19.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:1 NyukaslNyukasl
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
05.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 3:0 BrightonBrighton
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points