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Premier League
Premier League England
38 round 24.05.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
24.05.2026 15:00 UTC 38 round
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Aston Villa

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
1 : 2
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Manchester City take on Aston Villa on May 24, 2026 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Manchester City 3-2-0, Aston Villa 2-1-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Manchester City, an implied 72% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Aston Villa May 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.78 / 2 8.50
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 72.3% / X 16.5% / Aston Villa 11.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8% 14 books · best price +5.7%
1 72.1%
X 16.8%
2 11.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 69.7%
Under 2.5 30.3%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Etikhad (Manchester, England), 60 332 zritelya (110% pri vmestimosti 55 097)
Referee Endryu Medli (Zapadnyy Yorkshir)
Start 24.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 72.3% @ 1.32 / X 16.5% @ 5.78 / 2 11.2% @ 8.50
Match center

Manchester City - Aston Villa

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Manchester Siti - Aston Villa, 24 maya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 38-y Round. Manchester Siti - Aston Villa, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.31 76.3% 1.38 72.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5%
X 5.50 18.2% 5.84 17.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.25 19.1% 5.70 17.5% 6.00 16.7%
8.00 12.5% 8.30 12.1% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.64 61.0% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.10 90.9% 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.75 — 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.25 — 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.75 — 1.47 68.0%
Over 3.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 4.5 2.90 34.5% —
Over 5.5 5.00 20.0% —
Under 1.5 6.50 15.4% —
Under 2.5 3.10 32.3% —
Under 3.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 4.5 1.40 71.4% —
Under 5.5 1.17 85.5% —
Match center
Manchester City

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Aston Villa
BK Bubakar Kamara pz
Match center
Manchester City
D W W D W
19.05 18:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
13.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
09.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 BrentfordBrentford
04.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:3 EvertonEverton
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Aston Villa
W D L L W
15.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:2 LiverpulLiverpul
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:2 BurnleyBurnley
03.05 18:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
25.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:1 FulhamFulham
19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:3 SunderlandSunderland
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Aston Villa

Manchester City
2 matches total
Aston Villa
Manchester City: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Aston Villa: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Aston Villa 0:1 (26.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 22.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
0:1
Aston Villa
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City
2:1
Aston Villa
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Manchester City
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Aston Villa
Manchester City Team comparison Aston Villa
37 Games 37
23 Wins 18
9 Draws 8
5 Losses 11
76 Scored 54
33 Conceded 48
78 Points 62
114.97 Attacks 81.94
64.06 Dangerous attacks 44.12
0 Big chances 0
15.78 Shots on goal 12.54
5.35 Shots on target 4.49
deniya 1.57 0 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Antuan Semeno 1:0 23' Olli Uotkins 1 47' Olli Uotkins Ross Barkli 1:2 61' Nakazaniya Riko Lyuis 82' VAR Fil Foden 90'

Manchester Siti Aston Villa 37 Games 37 23 Wins 18 9 Draws 8 5 Losses 11 76 Scored 54 33 Conceded 48 78 Points 62 114.97 Attacks 81.94 64.06 Dangerous attacks 44.12 0 Big chances 0 15.78 Shots on goal 12.54 5.35 Udary v stvor 4.49 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.35 Uglovye 5.27 1.16 Offsaydy 1.14 9.7 Foly 10.16 60.92 % vladeniya myachom 53.78 1.76 Warnings 1.57 0 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Antuan Semeno 1:0 23' Olli Uotkins 1 47' Olli Uotkins Ross Barkli 1:2 61' Nakazaniya Riko Lyuis 82' VAR Fil Foden 90'