Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Premier League England

07.01.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

07.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester City - Brighton

England Football

Manchester City

1 : 1

Finished

Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Brighton January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.78 / 2 5.85
1X2 market: Manchester City 63.6% / X 20.0% / Brighton 16.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 68.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 63.7%

X 20.0%

2 16.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 68.0%

Under 2.5 32.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 07.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Manchester City - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.87 market consensus · line only

X 4.78 market consensus · line only

1 1.50 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.60 market consensus · line only

12 1.19 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.58 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.06 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.96 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.53 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.50 66.7%
X	4.78 20.9%
	6.26 16.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.47 68.0%
X	4.70 21.3%	4.95 20.2%	4.99 20.0%	4.75 21.1%	4.70 21.3%	4.75 21.1%
	5.25 19.1%	5.70 17.5%	5.95 16.8%	5.50 18.2%	6.20 16.1%	6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.60 38.5%	2.62 38.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.63 38.0%	2.46 40.7%	2.64 37.9%	2.55 39.2%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.48 67.6%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	2.45 40.8%	2.64 37.9%	2.38 42.0%	2.60 38.5%	2.64 37.9%	2.75 36.4%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.21 82.6%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%

Match center

Manchester City

D D W W W

04.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 1:1 Chelsea

01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 0:0 Sunderland

27.12 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 2:1 Nottingem Forest

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 3:0 West Ham

14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 3:0 Kristal Pelas

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Brighton

W D L D L

03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:0 Burnley

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:2 West Ham

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:2 Arsenal

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:0 Sunderland

13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:2 Liverpul

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Brighton

Manchester City

1 matches total

Brighton

Manchester City: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Brighton: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Brighton 1:2 (31.08 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 31.08 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

31.08 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester City

1:2

Brighton