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Premier League England

14.09.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction

14.09.2025 15:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester City - Manchester United

England Football

Manchester City

3 : 0

Finished

Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Manchester United September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 4.03 / 2 4.37
1X2 market: Manchester City 54.5% / X 23.7% / Manchester United 21.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 54.5%

X 23.7%

2 21.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 61.1%

Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.09.2025 15:30 UTC

Match center

Manchester City - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.38 market consensus · line only

X 4.03 market consensus · line only

1 1.75 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.09 market consensus · line only

12 1.24 market consensus · line only

1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.13 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.39 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.76 56.8%
X	4.06 24.6%
	4.54 22.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%
X	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%	4.25 23.5%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%
	4.30 23.3%	4.40 22.7%	4.43 22.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.45 22.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Dafabet	Marathonbet
no	2.35 42.6%	2.48 40.3%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.33 42.9%	2.36 42.4%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.61 62.1%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Dafabet
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.06 48.5%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.21 82.6%

Match center

Manchester City

L L W W W

31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 1:2 Brighton

23.08 11:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 0:2 Tottenkhem

16.08 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 4:0 Wolves

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 2:0 Fulham

20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 3:1 Bournemouth

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Manchester United

W D L W L

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Burnley

24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Fulham

17.08 15:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:1 Arsenal

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Aston Villa

16.05 19:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 0:1 Chelsea

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Manchester United

Manchester City

1 matches total

Manchester United

Manchester City: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.04 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.04 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester City

0:0

Manchester United