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Premier League
Premier League England
06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Sunderland

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
3 : 0
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Sunderland December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 5.99 / 2 10.81
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 75.0% / X 16.0% / Sunderland 9.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 75.1%
X 16.0%
2 8.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Under 2.5 36.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 9.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.98 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.28 78.1%
X 6.26 16.0%
10.55 9.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
X 5.90 17.0% 6.20 16.1% 6.12 16.3% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7%
9.50 10.5% 10.00 10.0% 13.40 7.5% 10.00 10.0% 10.50 9.5% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.45 29.0% 4.02 24.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 4.05 24.7% 4.02 24.9%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Manchester City
W W L W W
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Manchester City 3:2 LeedsLeeds
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Manchester City 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
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Manchester City 3:0 LiverpulLiverpul
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Manchester City 3:1 BournemouthBournemouth
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
12 Points
Sunderland
D W L D D
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
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Sunderland 3:2 BournemouthBournemouth
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Sunderland 0:1 FulhamFulham
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Sunderland 2:2 ArsenalArsenal
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Sunderland 1:1 EvertonEverton
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points