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Premier League
Premier League England
23.08.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester City - Tottenham

England Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
0 : 2
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Tottenham August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.55 / 2 5.53
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 61.7% / X 21.0% / Tottenham 17.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 61.8%
X 20.9%
2 17.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Under 2.5 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Tottenham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.57 market consensus · line only
X 4.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
X 4.80 20.8%
5.95 16.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%
X 4.65 21.5% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%
5.60 17.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.70 17.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.51 39.8% 2.62 38.2%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Manchester City
W W W D W
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Manchester City 3:1 BournemouthBournemouth
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Manchester City 0:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
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Manchester City 1:0 WolvesWolves
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Tottenham
W L L L D
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Tottenham 1:1 West HamWest Ham
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points