Match center
Start
17.08.2025 15:30 UTC
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17.08.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Manchester United - Arsenal
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester United - Arsenal August 17, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite Fonbet: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / X 3.70 / 2 1.93
- 1X2 market: Manchester United 23.2% / X 26.3% / Arsenal 50.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.7%
1
23.2%
X
26.3%
2
50.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester United - Arsenal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.93
Fonbet · line only
X
3.70
Fonbet · line only
1
4.20
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.23
Fonbet · line only
12
1.28
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.87
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.28
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.09
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.83
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.00
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 4.14 24.2% | |
| X | 3.77 26.5% |
| 1.92 52.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.08 24.5% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.71 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.88 53.2% |
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Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Arsenal
Manchester United
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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