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Premier League
Premier League England
25.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester United - Brighton

England Football
Manchester United
Manchester United
4 : 2
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Manchester United take on Brighton on October 25, 2025 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Manchester United 3-0-2, Brighton 2-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Manchester United the favourite at about 47%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Brighton October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.81 / 2 3.41
  • 1X2 market: Manchester United 46.9% / X 25.1% / Brighton 28.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 46.9%
X 25.1%
2 28.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 62.1%
Under 2.5 37.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 46.9% @ 2.04 / X 25.1% @ 3.81 / 2 28.0% @ 3.41
Match center

Manchester United - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.36 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.06 48.5%
X 3.85 26.0%
3.53 28.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.02 49.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.98 25.1% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.55 39.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.56 39.1% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%
Match center
Manchester United
W W L W L
19.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:0 SunderlandSunderland
27.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Brighton
W D W D L
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 WolvesWolves
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:2 BournemouthBournemouth
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points