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Start
30.08.2025 14:00 UTC
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30.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Manchester United - Burnley
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester United - Burnley August 30, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 5.05 / 2 7.86
- 1X2 market: Manchester United 68.9% / X 18.9% / Burnley 12.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
68.9%
X
19.0%
2
12.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5
59.6%
Under 2.5
40.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester United - Burnley
Form
5/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.85
market consensus · line only
X
5.06
market consensus · line only
1
1.39
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.00
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
1.10
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.06
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.36
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.70
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.59
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.35
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.85
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.41 70.9% | |
| X | 5.20 19.2% |
| 7.75 12.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | |
| X | 4.90 20.4% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.22 19.2% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.10 19.6% |
| 7.00 14.3% | 8.40 11.9% | 7.70 13.0% | 8.50 11.8% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.00 12.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 2.06 48.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.88 34.7% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.08 32.5% |
| home_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% |
Match center
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West Ham
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Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
Burnley
W
L
23.08 14:00 UTC
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Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
1
Wins
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Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Burnley
Manchester United
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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