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Premier League
Premier League England
01.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester United - Fulham

England Football
Manchester United
Manchester United
3 : 2
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Fulham February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.48 / 2 5.54
  • 1X2 market: Manchester United 61.5% / X 21.3% / Fulham 17.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 61.5%
X 21.3%
2 17.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester United - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.55 market consensus · line only
X 4.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.96 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
X 4.58 21.8%
5.70 17.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.60 21.7% 4.72 21.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0%
5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5% 5.79 17.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Manchester United
W W D D D
25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:2 ArsenalArsenal
17.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:0 Manchester CityManchester City
07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:2 BurnleyBurnley
04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 LeedsLeeds
30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Fulham
W L W D D
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 BrightonBrighton
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 LeedsLeeds
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
04.01 15:15 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Fulham

Manchester United
1 matches total
Fulham
Manchester United: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Fulham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 24.08 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (24.08 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United
1:1
Fulham