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Premier League
Premier League England
06.04.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester United - Manchester City

England Football
Manchester United
Manchester United
0 : 0
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Manchester City April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.36 / X 3.71 / 2 2.17
  • 1X2 market: Manchester United 29.0% / X 26.2% / Manchester City 44.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 29.0%
X 26.2%
2 44.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 58.5%
Under 2.5 41.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Manchester United - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 3.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.36 29.8%
X 3.71 27.0%
2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.75 57.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 2.5 2.34 42.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.46 40.7%
1.59 62.9%
Match center
Manchester United
L L W D L
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Manchester United 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:2 West HamWest Ham
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
29.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Manchester City
W W W W D
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 Leicester
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
20.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 WolvesWolves
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:2 FulhamFulham
28.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 NyukaslNyukasl
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points