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Premier League England

17.01.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 12:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Manchester City

England Football

Manchester United

2 : 0

Finished

Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Manchester City January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.71 / 2 2.16
1X2 market: Manchester United 30.0% / X 25.8% / Manchester City 44.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 30.0%

X 25.8%

2 44.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 62.9%

Under 2.5 37.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 12:30 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.17 market consensus · line only

X 3.70 market consensus · line only

1 3.20 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.36 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.72 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.88 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.66 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.25 30.8%
X	3.63 27.6%
	2.25 44.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.35 29.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.34 29.9%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.25 30.8%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.70 27.0%	3.72 26.9%	3.75 26.7%	3.70 27.0%	3.85 26.0%
	2.02 49.5%	2.23 44.8%	2.24 44.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.62 38.2%	2.82 35.5%	2.66 37.6%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.65 37.7%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.85 35.1%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.30 76.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.38 72.5%	1.37 73.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%

Match center

Manchester United

D D D W L

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:2 Burnley

04.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Leeds

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 Wolves

26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Nyukasl

21.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Aston Villa

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Manchester City

D D D W W

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 1:1 Brighton

04.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 1:1 Chelsea

01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 0:0 Sunderland

27.12 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 2:1 Nottingem Forest

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester City 3:0 West Ham

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Manchester City

Manchester United

2 matches total

Manchester City

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Manchester City: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Manchester City 0:3 (14.09 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 14.09 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.04 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

0:3

Manchester City

06.04 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

0:0

Manchester City