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Premier League
Premier League England
04.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Manchester United - West Ham

England Football
Manchester United
Manchester United
1 : 1
Finished
West Ham
West Ham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - West Ham December 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 5.00 / 2 7.24
  • 1X2 market: Manchester United 67.8% / X 19.1% / West Ham 13.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 67.7%
X 19.1%
2 13.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 61.3%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester United - West Ham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.27 market consensus · line only
X 5.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.32 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.41 70.9%
X 5.07 19.7%
7.57 13.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
X 4.85 20.6% 5.10 19.6% 5.21 19.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4%
7.10 14.1% 6.80 14.7% 7.49 13.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.90 34.5% 2.98 33.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.95 33.9% 2.97 33.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Manchester United
W L D D W
30.11 12:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 EvertonEverton
08.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 4:2 BrightonBrighton
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
West Ham
L D W W L
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:2 LiverpulLiverpul
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 3:2 BurnleyBurnley
02.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
24.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:2 LeedsLeeds
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - West Ham

Manchester United
2 matches total
West Ham
Manchester United: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
West Ham: 2 (100%)
Biggest win West Ham 0:2 (11.05 13:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 27.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United
0:2
West Ham
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United
1:2
West Ham