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Premier League England

30.12.2025 20:15 UTC Match prediction

30.12.2025 20:15 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Manchester United - Wolves

England Football

Manchester United

1 : 1

Finished

Wolves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester United - Wolves December 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.11 / 2 7.75
1X2 market: Manchester United 69.0% / X 18.7% / Wolves 12.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 69.1%

X 18.6%

2 12.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 61.5%

Under 2.5 38.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.12.2025 20:15 UTC

Match center

Manchester United - Wolves

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.78 market consensus · line only

X 5.13 market consensus · line only

1 1.38 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.08 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.10 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.05 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.39 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 6.58 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.00 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.38 72.5%
X	5.40 18.5%
	8.25 12.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.39 71.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.43 69.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%
X	5.10 19.6%	5.00 20.0%	5.23 19.1%	5.25 19.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.00 20.0%
	7.00 14.3%	8.00 12.5%	7.90 12.7%	7.00 14.3%	8.25 12.1%	7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.90 52.6%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	1.98 50.5%	2.07 48.3%	2.02 49.5%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.74 57.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.81 55.3%	1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.05 32.8%	3.25 30.8%
home_away	1.13 88.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%
home_draw	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%

Match center

Manchester United

W L D W D

26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:0 Nyukasl

21.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:2 Aston Villa

15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 4:4 Bournemouth

08.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 4:1 Wolves

04.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 West Ham

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

8 Points

Wolves

L L L L L

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 1:2 Liverpul

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:2 Brentford

13.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 1:2 Arsenal

08.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 1:4 Manchester United

03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:1 Nottingem Forest

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

0.6 Scored

2.2 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManchester United - Wolves

Manchester United

2 matches total

Wolves

Manchester United: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Wolves: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Manchester United 4:1 (08.12 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 08.12 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 4

Match history

08.12 20:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

4:1

Wolves

20.04 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Manchester United

0:1

Wolves