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Premier League England

25.01.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

25.01.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Newcastle - Aston Villa

England Football

Newcastle

0 : 2

Finished

Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Aston Villa January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.64 / 2 3.44
1X2 market: Newcastle 45.9% / X 26.3% / Aston Villa 27.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 46.0%

X 26.3%

2 27.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 58.3%

Under 2.5 41.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 25.01.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Newcastle - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.44 market consensus · line only

X 3.64 market consensus · line only

1 2.08 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.78 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 1.32 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.35 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.41 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.12 47.2%
X	3.65 27.4%
	3.53 28.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.08 48.1%	2.12 47.2%	2.14 46.7%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.15 46.5%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.71 27.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%
	3.30 30.3%	3.45 29.0%	3.58 27.9%	3.20 31.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.55 28.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.35 42.6%	2.56 39.1%	2.42 41.3%	2.40 41.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.39 41.8%	2.56 39.1%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.52 65.8%	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.51 66.2%	1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.73 57.8%	1.79 55.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%

Match center

Newcastle

D W W W L

18.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:0 Wolves

07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 4:3 Leeds

04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:0 Kristal Pelas

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:1 Burnley

26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Manchester United

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Aston Villa

L D W L W

18.01 16:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:1 Everton

07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:0 Kristal Pelas

03.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 3:1 Nottingem Forest

30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:4 Arsenal

27.12 17:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:1 Chelsea

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Aston Villa

Newcastle

2 matches total

Aston Villa

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Aston Villa: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 1:4 (19.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 19.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (16.08 11:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

16.08 11:30 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

0:0

Aston Villa

19.04 16:30 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

1:4

Aston Villa