Match center
Start
06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
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06.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Newcastle - Burnley
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newcastle - Burnley December 6, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.53 / 2 9.81
- 1X2 market: Newcastle 72.9% / X 17.3% / Burnley 9.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
73.0%
X
17.3%
2
9.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Newcastle - Burnley
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.37
market consensus · line only
X
5.55
market consensus · line only
1
1.31
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.53
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.49
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.69
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.30
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.47
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.34
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.78
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.98
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.32 75.8% | |
| X | 5.73 17.5% |
| 9.62 10.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.31 76.3% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.25 80.0% | |
| X | 5.20 19.2% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.78 17.3% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 9.50 10.5% | 9.80 10.2% | 10.40 9.6% | 8.50 11.8% | 10.25 9.8% | 11.00 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.96 51.0% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.30 30.3% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.69 27.1% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
Match center
Newcastle
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W
W
L
L
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West Ham
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Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
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Scored
2.0
Conceded
7
Points
Burnley
L
L
L
L
L
03.12 19:30 UTC
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Burnley
0:1
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
29.11 15:00 UTC
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Brentford
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Chelsea
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08.11 15:00 UTC
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Burnley
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West Ham
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Arsenal
Arsenal
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.6
Scored
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Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Burnley
Newcastle
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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