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Premier League
Premier League England
17.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal

England Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 : 0
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Arsenal January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.99 / X 4.03 / 2 1.58
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 16.0% / X 23.7% / Arsenal 60.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 15.9%
X 23.7%
2 60.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.5%
Under 2.5 52.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.58 market consensus · line only
X 4.04 market consensus · line only
1 6.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.33 15.8%
X 4.07 24.6%
1.58 63.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.75 17.4% 6.20 16.1% 6.10 16.4% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.10 16.4%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.22 23.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%
1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3% 1.63 61.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.30 43.5% 2.43 41.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.43 41.2%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
W L L L L
06.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:1 West HamWest Ham
03.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:2 EvertonEverton
27.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:2 Manchester CityManchester City
22.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 FulhamFulham
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Arsenal
D W W W W
08.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:0 LiverpulLiverpul
03.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:2 BournemouthBournemouth
30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 BrightonBrighton
20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 EvertonEverton
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Arsenal

Nottingham Forest
1 matches total
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Arsenal 0:3 (13.09 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 13.09 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
0:3
Arsenal