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Premier League
Premier League England
01.05.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Brentford

England Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Brentford May 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 3.57 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 41.6% / X 27.3% / Brentford 31.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 41.6%
X 27.3%
2 31.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 54.6%
Under 2.5 45.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.05.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.34 42.7%
X 3.57 28.0%
3.13 32.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 2.5 2.14 46.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.69 59.2%
2.25 44.4%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
W L L W W
21.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 EvertonEverton
05.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
01.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
25.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:1 Leicester
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Brentford
W D D L W
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:2 BrightonBrighton
12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:3 IpswichIpswich
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points