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Premier League
Premier League England
30.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Brentford

England Football
Sunderland
Sunderland
2 : 1
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Brentford August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 3.25 / 2 2.41
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 31.1% / X 29.3% / Brentford 39.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 31.1%
X 29.3%
2 39.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sunderland - Brentford

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 3.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.25 30.8%
X 3.38 29.6%
2.36 42.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.16 31.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.38 42.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.44 41.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Sunderland
L W
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:2 BurnleyBurnley
16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:0 West HamWest Ham
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Brentford
W L D L W
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 WolvesWolves
18.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:3 FulhamFulham
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 IpswichIpswich
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Brentford

Sunderland
0 matches total
Brentford
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history