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Premier League
Premier League England
02.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Burnley

England Football
Sunderland
Sunderland
3 : 0
Finished
Burnley
Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Burnley February 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sunderland.

Line favourite market consensus: Sunderland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.47 / 2 4.76
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 52.4% / X 27.5% / Burnley 20.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 52.4%
X 27.5%
2 20.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.0%
Under 2.5 55.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Sunderland - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.76 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.46 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.86 53.8%
X 3.58 27.9%
4.83 20.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.76 56.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.58 27.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
4.85 20.6% 4.65 21.5% 4.88 20.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Sunderland
L W L D D
24.01 12:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:3 West HamWest Ham
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 BrentfordBrentford
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 Manchester CityManchester City
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Burnley
D D D L L
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 BrightonBrighton
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:3 NyukaslNyukasl
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Burnley

Sunderland
1 matches total
Burnley
Sunderland: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Burnley: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Burnley 0:2 (23.08 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 23.08 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland
0:2
Burnley