Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Fulham?

By the PropickAI model, Sunderland is favoured — about 40% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Sunderland vs Fulham?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Sunderland. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Sunderland vs Fulham?

Live odds for Sunderland vs Fulham from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Sunderland win probability ~40% confidence Low best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Sunderland. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.

Get Full Access →

Premier League England

30.08.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

30.08.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Sunderland vs Fulham — Football prediction

England Football

Stadium Stadium of Layt

Referee M. Salisbury

Capacity 49 000

Sunderland

1 : 0

Finished

Fulham

Sunderland host Fulham in football, in Premier League, on 30 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Sunderland as the favourite at around 40%. The bookmaker consensus (4 books) implies about 39% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 29%.

Recent form reads: Sunderland have 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost of their last 5; Fulham have 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost of 5. On the Glicko scale it is 1579 for Sunderland against 1602 for Fulham - a gap of 23 points. Across 2 recent head-to-head meetings between them, the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 23 Glicko rating points, the model's 40% for Sunderland. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sunderland — 40%

1 · Sunderland39.6%

X · draw28.7%

2 · Fulham31.7%

Model estimate: win Sunderland 39.6%, draw 28.7%, win Fulham 31.7%. Model favourite — Sunderland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance — Sunderland or draw 1.20

Model confidence 76% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.24) Score 1:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.80) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• liniya na pik X 3.25→3.30 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.24)
• edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Fulham August 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sunderland.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sunderland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 6.00 / 2 3.11
Glicko: Sunderland 39.6% / X 28.7% / Fulham 31.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books · best price +1.2%

1 39.1%

X 29.2%

2 31.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 4.50 3 books

Over 4.50 48.6%

Under 4.50 51.4%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 2.60 ↓ 2.20

1X2 X 3.25 ↑ 3.35

1X2 2 2.80 ↑ 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League

League table

Sunderland

#113 ptsGP 21-0-12:2

Fulham

#160 ptsGP 20-0-22:4

Best price across 13 books

1 4.33 10Bet

X 3.75 10Bet

2 3.12 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Sunderland

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.29 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.16 xGA 1.47 Corners 4.4

Fulham

W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.94 Conceded 1.16 xG 1.37 xGA 1.55 Corners 5.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences

T. Cairney — Knee Injury S. Adingra — Foot Injury L. De Fougerolles — Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)

Sunderland

Rating 1446 xG 1.12 Win 34%

Fulham

Rating 1459 xG 1.18 Win 37%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Sunderland

40%

2.46

Draw

29%

6.00

Fulham

31%

67.00

Handicap

Sunderland (0)

57%

1.68

Fulham (0)

43%

2.20

Total

Over 25.5

48%

1.89

Under 25.5

52%

1.72

Both teams to score

Yes

51%

5.10

49%

2.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sunderland 2 : 1 Fulham

12.33

X3.40

23.43

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →

Participant opinions

948 predictions Choose an outcome

1 36% 347

X 42% 399

2 21% 202

Match center

Stadium Stadium of Layt

Referee M. Salisbury

Start 30.08.2026 13:00 UTC

Market 1 67.0% @ 1.01 / X 11.3% @ 6.00 / 2 21.8% @ 3.11

Weather +18°C nebolshoy livnevyy rain

Broadcasts Setanta Sports 2, Setanta Sports 2, Setanta Sports 2

Capacity 49,000

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Draw 42%

📐 Math model Sunderland 40%

💹 Market Sunderland 39%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

🏦 Virtual bank $10,000

$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Stake ($)

My virtual bank & leaderboard →

Match center

Sunderland - Fulham

Sunderland: win 2.45 Sunderland: draw 3.20 Fulham win: 3.10 Obschiy Total goals Over 2.5: 2.00 Obschiy Total goals Under 2.5: 1.80 Individualnyy Total goals Sunderland Over 1.5: 2.25 Individualnyy Total goals Sunderland Under 1.5: 1.57 Individualnyy Total goals Fulha…

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 39.6% fact: home hit / ROI 146.0% / Brier 0.547 / LogLoss 0.926

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 39.6% fact: home hit / ROI 146.0% / Brier 0.547 / LogLoss 0.926

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sunderland 39.5% 39.6% market and model agree

Draw 28.9% 28.7% draw risk

Fulham 31.6% 31.7%

xG - 1.12 : 1.18

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 39.6% / 28.7% / 31.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,579 / 1,602 Sunderland / Fulham

RD 104 / 101 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,370-1,788 / 1,400-1,804 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.04 market consensus · no value · model 31.7%

X 6.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 39.6%

Double chance

12 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%

1X 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 68.3%

X2 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 60.4%

Handicap

2 -1 1.57 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	1.12 89.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.97 50.8%
yes	5.10 19.6%	2.45 40.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.11 90.1%	1.61 62.1%	1.61 62.1%
1x	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%
x2	12.00 8.3%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.07 32.6%
X	2.09 47.9%
	3.62 27.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.92 52.1%
Under 1	1.79 55.9%

Match center

4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1

22 Robin Rufs

5 Daniel Ballard

12 Toma Mene

17 Reynildu Mandava

20 Nordi Mukiele

10 Nilson Angulo

27 Noa Sadiki

28 Entso le Fe

32 Trey Khyum

34 Granit Dzhaka

9 Brayan Brobbey

1 Bernd Leno

3 Kalvin Bassi

5 Yoakim Andersen

21 Timoti Kastan

33 Entoni Robinson

8 Sesar Palasios

14 Oskar Bobb

16 Sander Berge

17 Aleks Ivobi

24 Dzhosh King

7 Gonsalo Garsiya

Sunderland

Formation 4-2-3-1

Probable starting lineup

22 RR Robin Rufs

Robin Rufs

5 DB Daniel Ballard

Daniel Ballard

12 TM Toma Mene

Toma Mene

17 RM Reynildu Mandava

Reynildu Mandava

20 NM Nordi Mukiele

Nordi Mukiele

10 NA Nilson Angulo

Nilson Angulo

27 NS Noa Sadiki

Noa Sadiki

28 EL Entso le Fe

Entso le Fe

32 TK Trey Khyum

Trey Khyum

34 GD Granit Dzhaka

Granit Dzhaka

9 BB Brayan Brobbey

Brayan Brobbey

Head coach Rezhis le Bri

Fulham

Formation 4-2-3-1

Probable starting lineup

1 BL Bernd Leno

Bernd Leno

3 KB Kalvin Bassi

Kalvin Bassi

5 YA Yoakim Andersen

Yoakim Andersen

21 TK Timoti Kastan

Timoti Kastan

33 ER Entoni Robinson

Entoni Robinson

8 SP Sesar Palasios

Sesar Palasios

14 OB Oskar Bobb

Oskar Bobb

16 SB Sander Berge

Sander Berge

17 AI Aleks Ivobi

Aleks Ivobi

24 DK Dzhosh King

Dzhosh King

7 GG Gonsalo Garsiya

Gonsalo Garsiya

Head coach Alvaro Arbeloa

Sunderland

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Fulham

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 4-2-3-1 / 4-2-3-1

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

18 Goals 15

1.8 Per match 1.5

6 Wins 4

1 Draws 3

3 Losses 3

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-3, avg 2.6 gls

2026-08-30 · Sanderlend 1:0 Fulkhem

2026-02-22 · Sanderlend 1:3 Fulkhem

2025-11-22 · Sanderlend 0:1 Fulkhem

2023-02-08 · Sanderlend 2:3 Fulkhem

2023-01-28 · Sanderlend 1:1 Fulkhem

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.75 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.3 (Pari) · 2 2.85 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.65	3.3	2.7
Winline	2.7	3.25	2.55
Fonbet	2.65	3.3	2.7
Betcity	2.6	3.2	2.85
Liga Stavok	2.75	3.3	2.55

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

42% Ball possession 58%

8 Vsego udarov 9

3 Shots on target 0

4 Shots off target 3

3 Udary ot vorot 9

1 Blokirovannye udary 6

15 Shtrafnye 10

3 Corners 4

1 Offsides 1

16 Auty 21

0 Saves 2

10 Fouls 15

0 Cards total 2

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

1 Travmy 0

4 Substitutions 4

Source: ruscore

Sunderland

L W W W L

2026-08-22 Premier League 26/27

Sunderland Ipswich Town 2:1 Sunderland

2026-08-15 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sunderland Sunderland 2:1 Rennais

2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sunderland Lens 0:2 Sunderland

2026-08-02 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sunderland Sunderland 1:0 Wrexham

2026-07-30 Club Friendly Games 2026

Sunderland Leeds 1:0 Sunderland

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Fulham

W L W D L

2026-08-27 EFL Cup 26/27

Fulham 3:0 AFC Wimbledon Fulham

2026-08-24 Premier League 26/27

Fulham 2:3 Chelsea Fulham

2026-08-15 Club Friendly Games 2026

Fulham 1:0 Stuttgart Fulham

2026-08-12 Club Friendly Games 2026

Malaga 2:2 Fulham Fulham

2026-08-07 Club Friendly Games 2026

Fulham 1:2 Crystal Palace Fulham

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Sunderland - Fulham

Sunderland

3 matches total

Fulham

Sunderland: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fulham: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Fulham 1:3 (2026-02-22) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 2023-02-08) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 7

7 Goals conceded 3

Match history

2026-02-22 Premier League 26/27

Sunderland 1:3 Fulham

2025-11-22 Premier League 26/27

Fulham 1:0 Sunderland

2023-02-08 Premier League 26/27

Sunderland 2:3 Fulham

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Sunderland

Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Fulham

Matches in history 66

Biggest draw 3:3

Highest-scoring match 6:2

Premier League 36 / 10 / 11 / 15 / 40 / 44

Cup England 6 / 2 / 2 / 2 / 10 / 11

Chempionship 22 / 11 / 6 / 5 / 35 / 29

Cup ligi 2 / 1 / 1 / 0 / 4 / 1

Sunderland vs Fulham — Football prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Fulham August 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Model O/U (market-implied)

Line movement

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Sunderland - Fulham

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions